Snowday Central

Updated: 317 PM 07 MAR 2018

EARLY CLOSING

Discussion:

Classes after 4 pm are cancelled.

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Updated: 437 AM 07 MAR 2018

Campus Opening	Campus Closing	Probability
Normal Time	Normal Time	65%
Normal Time	Early	30%
Late	Normal Time	0%
Late	Early	0%
Closed All Day	–	5%

Discussion:

Essentially removing full closing probability. There is a slight chance of an early closing due to heavy snowfall rates being expected during the evening commute.

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Updated: 435 PM 06 MAR 2018

Campus Opening	Campus Closing	Probability
Normal Time	Normal Time	50%
Normal Time	Early	25%
Late	Normal Time	0%
Late	Early	0%
Closed All Day	–	25%

Discussion:

We try to avoid rapid adjustments and swings to our forecasts, but unfortunately, the removal of the winter storm warning requires it. School closings are based on both actual weather and human behavior, the latter of which is less predictable, but an adjustment to winter weather headlines in the absence of a shift in expected snow totals will significantly impact the decisions made by administrators.

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Updated: 310 PM 06 MAR 2018

Campus Opening	Campus Closing	Probability
Normal Time	Normal Time	5%
Normal Time	Early	20%
Late	Normal Time	0%
Late	Early	0%
Closed All Day	–	75%

Discussion:

Probabilities have been adjusted upwards based on winter storm warning. 4-8 inches of snow is expected. I am being conservative with the full closing chance because we will likely only see marginal warning criteria.

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Updated: 533 AM 05 MAR 2018

Campus Opening	Campus Closing	Probability
Normal Time	Normal Time	20%
Normal Time	Early	30%
Late	Normal Time	0%
Late	Early	0%
Closed All Day	–	50%

Discussion:

A coastal storm will impact the region Wednesday. Current thinking is that at least 6 inches of snow will fall, causing either a full closing or early closing, depending on how much snow falls early in the day. The main uncertainty at this time is how much rain, if any, will mix in. These details will be elucidated in the coming day.

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