School: Suffolk County Community College
Impact Date: THU 08 MAR 2018
Hazard Type: WINTER
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Updated: 805 PM 08 MAR 2018

DELAYED OPENING

Discussion:

There was a delayed opening today until 11 am.


Updated: 948 PM 07 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 15%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 50%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 35%

Discussion:

Increasing probability of a full closing to 35% based on power outage data.


Updated: 842 PM 07 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 35%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 50%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 15%

Discussion:

Radar and high resolution models confirm that moderate snow will not end until later tonight, and there are hints of mesoscale banding continuing. I have thus added a 15% chance of a full closing. The delay probability is unchanged.


Updated: 538 PM 07 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 50%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 50%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 0%

Discussion:

Increasing probability of a delay due to snow not ending until late tonight. Going with a 50% chance based on this being a threshold situation. Confidence in this forecast is lower than normal because this is a prediction of both weather and human behavior.


Updated: 320 AM 06 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 80%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 20%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 0%

Discussion:

There is a slight chance of a delay Thursday due to the possibility of significant snow continuing from Wednesday evening into the overnight hours, impacting the morning commute.


 

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